Letter from the Chairman of the Management Board1
Year of premium growth in all markets
The Sava Re Group has again achieved growth in gross premiums written in 2017 – and across all of our operating segments. Compared to the previous year, we generated 5.5% more premium income, exceeding our target growth rate.
For Zavarovalnica Sava, this was the first year following the successful merger of the Group’s EU-based insurance companies from which it emerged with a new name and visual identity. We believe that it performed well, exceeding its planned synergy gains related to the merger as reflected in the favourable ratio of expenses to gross premiums written. In Slovenia, non-life insurance premiums grew by 5.7%, while life insurance premiums rose by 3.7%.
We are also satisfied with the almost 10% growth posted by our insurance companies abroad, and this in both key segments of our insurance operations.
And, of course, we are satisfied with the return figure achieved in the face of the number of large weather-related events that occurred in 2017. While the profit of Zavarovalnica Sava was impacted by storm losses, the performance of the reinsurance portfolio (excluding exchange differences) fell short of the 2016 result owing to a number of large loss events in the international market (such as the storms in the USA and the flooding of mines in Russia). The Group generated a net profit of €31.1 million, corresponding to a 10.1% return on equity. With a 19.5% increase in the share price over the year and a 5.1% dividend yield, we feel the Sava Re POSR share is becoming an attractive investment opportunity for both institutional and retail investors.
Key guidelines set out in the strategy:
- digitalisation and technological modernisation of operations to place the client at the centre;
- growth through acquisitions;
- seeking opportunities in environmentally/sustainability-oriented investment projects;
- closing the gap between intrinsic value and market price of shares.
Long-term strategic targets:
The long-term objective is to achieve, at the Group level and in terms of a 3-year average, a return on equity (ROE) that at is at least equal to the cost of capital. The internally-calculated cost of equity of the Sava Re Group with regard to its composition is 10.4% (+/– 0.5 p.p.).
In the period 2017–2019, the solvency ratio at the Group level will be in the range of 170% and 230% (between the bottom of the optimum/target range and the top of the suboptimal capital range).
Non-life business of the Group will achieve a three-year average combined ratio of not more than 95%, while reinsurance25 will achieve a combined ratio of not more than 93%.
As regards life insurance business, the profitability of new policies written by Zavarovalnica Sava and insurers outside Slovenia will be at least 5% and 2.5%, respectively (ratio of the value of new policies to the present value of expected premiums of such new policies).
Pomembnejše načrtovane postavke v letu 2018
(€ million)
|
2016
|
2017
|
2018 plan
|
Index/difference in p.p.
2018 plan/2017
|
Gross written premiums
|
490.2
|
517.2
|
>520.0
|
100.5
|
Growth/decline in premiums
|
0.8%
|
5.5%
|
2.8%
|
-
|
Net expense ratio
|
34.0%
|
32.7%
|
31.4-31.7%
|
-1.0 o.t.
|
Net incurred loss ratio, excluding exchange differences
|
58.2%
|
60.5%
|
59.4-59.9%
|
-0.6 o.t.
|
Net combined ratio, excluding exchange differences
|
94.6%
|
95.5%
|
94.0-94.5%
|
-1.0 o.t.
|
Profit/loss, net of tax
|
32.9
|
31.1
|
37.0-39.0
|
119.0
|
Investment return, excluding exchange differences
|
2.2%
|
2.0%
|
1.7%
|
-0.3 o.t.
|
Return on equity
|
11.3%
|
10.1%
|
>11.0%
|
0.9 o.t.
|
* The net incurred loss ratio and the net combined ratio are given for the reinsurance and non-life insurance operating segments.
25: When calculating the combined ratio based on the planning financial statements for Sava Re, it is necessary to exclude part of the expenses relating to the administration of the Group that are not related to reinsurance business.
Presence of the group5
As at 31 December 2017, the insurance part of the Sava Re Group comprised – in addition to the controlling company Sava Re – seven insurers based in Slovenia and other countries of the Adria region, and one pension company based in Slovenia.
Composition of the Sava Re Group as at 31 December 2017
Share
The Slovenian capital market (SBITOP) ended the year with a gain similar to other global capital markets. This gain was driven by the good financial performance of companies and above-average dividend yields.
Basic details about the POSR share
|
31/12/2017
|
31/12/2016
|
Share capital
|
71,856,376
|
71,856,376
|
No. of shares
|
17,219,662
|
17,219,662
|
Ticker symbol
|
POSR
|
POSR
|
No. of shareholders
|
4,061
|
4,308
|
Type of share
|
Ordinary
|
Listing
|
Ljubljana Stock Exchange, prime market
|
Number of own shares
|
1,721,966
|
1,721,966
|
Consolidated net earnings per share (€)
|
2.00
|
2.08
|
Consolidated book value per share (€)
|
20.40
|
18.81
|
Share price at end of period (€)
|
15.80
|
13.22
|
|
1-12/2017
|
1-12/2016
|
Average share price in reporting period (€)
|
15.86
|
13.74
|
Minimum share price in reporting period (€)
|
13.35
|
11.80
|
Maximum share price in reporting period (€)
|
17.20
|
15.00
|
Trade volume in reporting period (€)
|
14,384,835
|
19,072,516
|
Ten largest shareholders as at 31/12/201721
|
Shareholder
|
No. of shares
|
Holding (%)
|
1
|
Slovenian Sovereign Holding
|
3,043,883
|
17.7%
|
2
|
Zagrebačka banka, d.d. – fiduciary account
|
2,439,852
|
14.2%
|
3
|
Republic of Slovenia
|
1,737,436
|
10.1%
|
4
|
Sava Re, d.d. (treasury shares)*
|
1,721,966
|
10.0%
|
5
|
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD)
|
1,071,429
|
6.2%
|
6
|
Raiffeisen Bank Austria, d.d. (fiduciary account)
|
784,710
|
4.6%
|
7
|
Modra Zavarovalnica d.d.
|
714,285
|
4.1%
|
8
|
Abanka, d.d.
|
655,000
|
3.8%
|
9
|
East Capital – East Capital Balkans
|
359,147
|
2.1%
|
10
|
Modra Zavarovalnica, d.d. – ZVPS
|
320,346
|
1.9%
|
|
Total
|
12,848,054
|
74.6%
|
Source: Central securities register KDD d.d.
* Treasury shares carry no voting rights.
21: GRI 102-5
Sava Re rating profile
Sava Re is rated by two rating agencies, Standard & Poor’s and A.M. Best.
Financial strength rating of Sava Re
Agency
|
Rating4
|
Outlook
|
Latest review
|
Standard & Poor’s
|
A–
|
positive
|
July 2017: improved outlook
|
A.M. Best
|
A–
|
stable
|
October 2017: affirmed existing rating
|
4: Credit rating agency Standard & Poor’s uses the following scale for assessing financial strength: AAA (extremely strong), AA (very strong), A (strong), BBB (adequate), BB (less vulnerable), B (more vulnerable), CCC (currently vulnerable), CC (highly vulnerable), R (under regulatory supervision), SD (selectively defaulted), D (defaulted), NR (not rated). Plus (+) or minus (–) following the credit rating from AA to CCC indicates the relative ranking within the major credit categories.
A.M. Best uses the following categories to assess financial strength: A++, A+ (superior), A, A– (excellent), B++, B+ (Good), B, B– (fair), C++, C+ (marginal), C, C– (weak), D (poor), E (under regulatory supervision), F (in liquidation), S (suspended).